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Revisiting My NFL Predictions and Revised Playoff Picks: Part Three, Super Bowl XLVI and Awards

SUPER BOWL XLVI

Preseason Pick:

Packers over Ravens

Revised Prediction:

Packers 31 Ravens 20

I’m not going to change a thing. I think the Packers ride home field advantage to another Super Bowl, where Aaron Rodgers wins the game’s MVP again as the Packers win back-to-back Super Bowls for the second time in their history.

POSTSEASON AWARD PICKS (Preseason picks in italics):

NFL MVP: Aaron Rodgers, GB – 4,643 yards, 44 TDs, 6 INTs, 68.3 comp %

Preseason Pick: Aaron Rodgers, GB

You really can’t go wrong picking Rodgers or Drew Brees as the league’s MVP. They both had outstanding seasons, two of the best season-long performances in NFL history. You really have to nit pick to choose one over the other. In the end, I went with Rodgers because he threw less interceptions and won two more games, including the head-to-head match-up between the two quarterbacks way back on the season’s opening Thursday. Rodgers’ 44-6 TD-to-INT ratio was just out of this world good.

Honorable Mentions: Drew Brees, NO; Tom Brady, NE

Offensive Player of the Year: Drew Brees, NO – 5,476 yards, 46 TDs, 14 INTs 71.2 comp %

Preseason Pick: Rodgers

I hedged my bets by picking Brees as the offensive player of the year. Brees put up tremendous numbers, breaking Dan Marino’s record for passing yards in a season and his own record for completion percentage.

Honorable Mentions: Rodgers; Brady, NE; Calvin Johnson, DET; Matthew Stafford, DET; Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX; Rob Gronkowski, NE; Jimmy Graham, NO

That would be T-Sizzle, from Ball Hard University of course…

Defensive Player of the Year: Terrell Suggs, BAL – 70 tackles, 14 sacks, 7 forced fumbles, 2 INTs

Another tough call here. I ended up going with Suggs because his numbers, 14 sacks and 7 forced fumbles, were too great to ignore. T-Sizzle made big play after big play this season, helping the Ravens to 12-4 record and AFC North division crown. 49ers’ lineman Justin Smith was also phenomenal this season, and was a big reason why the Niners had so much success his season. He would also be a deserving winner of this award.

Preseason Pick: Ndamukong Suh, DET

Honorable Mentions: Justin Smith, SF; Jared Allen, MIN; Jason Pierre-Paul, NYG; DeMarcus Ware, DAL; Darrelle Revis, NYJ; Jonathan Joseph, HOU

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Cam Newton, CAR – 4051 passing yards, 21 TDs, 706 rushing yards, 14 TDs

Preseason Pick: Mark Ingram, NO

This was a no-brainer. Newton had one of the best rookie seasons of all time. Newton has out of this world talent. I’m not sure there has ever been a quarterback with as much potential as Newton.

Honorable Mentions: A.J. Green, CIN; Julio Jones, ATL; Andy Dalton, CIN; DeMarco Murray, DAL

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Von Miller, DEN-  64 tackles, 11.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles

Preseason Pick: J.J. Watt, HOU

Another really tough call here, this time between Miler and 49ers’ linebacker Aldon Smith. In the end, I went with Miller because he was the best player on a playoff team (be it as it may, an 8-8 playoff team). Tebow gets all the pub, but Von Miller was outstanding this season. Without Miller, the Broncos are likely out of the playoffs.

Honorable Mentions: Smith, SF; Watt, HOU

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2011 NFL Predictions

AFC EAST

1. New England Patriots 14-2

2. New York Jets 11-5 (WC)

3. Buffalo Bills 4-12

4. Miami Dolphins 3-13

AFC NORTH

1. Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4

2. Baltimore Ravens 12-4 (WC)

3. Cleveland Browns 5-11

4. Cincinnati Bengals 2-14

AFC SOUTH

1. Houston Texans 10-6

2. Tennessee Titans 9-7

3. Indianapolis Colts 8-8

4. Jacksonville Jaguars 3-13

AFC WEST

1. San Diego Chargers 11-5

2. Oakland Raiders 7-9

3. Kansas City Chiefs 6-10

4. Denver Broncos 5-11

NFC EAST

1. Philadelphia Eagles 12-4

2. Dallas Cowboys 9-7

3. New York Giants 7-9

4. Washington Redskins 5-11

NFC NORTH

1. Green Bay Packers 14-2

2. Detroit Lions 8-8

3. Chicago Bears 6-10

4. Minnesota Vikings 6-10

NFC SOUTH

1. New Orleans Saints 12-4

2. Atlanta Falcons 11-5 (WC)

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-6 (WC)

4. Carolina Panthers 2-14

NFC WEST

1. St. Louis Rams 8-8

2. San Francisco 49ers 8-8

3. Arizona Cardinals 7-9

4. Seattle Seahawks 4-12

AFC PLAYOFFS

WILD CARD ROUND:

Jets over Chargers

Ravens over Texans

DIVISIONAL ROUND:

Patriots over Jets

Ravens over Steelers

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP:

Ravens over Patriots

NFC PLAYOFFS

WILD CARD ROUND:

Falcons over Rams

Eagles over Bucs

DIVISIONAL ROUND:

Packers over Falcons

Saints over Eagles

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP:

Packers over Saints

SUPER BOWL XLVI

Packers over Ravens

The title belt will stay in Green Bay.

Other Predictions:

NFL MVP: Aaron Rodgers, GB

Offensive Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, GB

Defensive Player of the Year: Ndamukong Suh, DET

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Mark Ingram, NO

Defensive Rookie of the Year: J.J. Watt, HOU (Total homer pick)

Andrew Luck Sweepstakes Winner: Bengals (Panthers might get the #1 pick, but they picked Cam Newton last year…)

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